Sunday, October 9, 2016

Fantasy Basketball: Top Ten Point Guards for 2016-2017 Fantasy Drafts!

In just a couple of weeks the NBA season will begin. Last time we took a look at my top ten Fantasy Basketball Point Guards. Today I will give you my top ten shooting guards (SG)…..and here we go!

Houston Rockets SG James Harden made my top ten PG list and he’s number one on my SG list for this season. Harden is duel eligible (PG, SG) and that kind of flexibility plus his 23 double doubles and three triple doubles last season makes him an easy number two overall choice for me but it wouldn’t surprise me to see him drafted number one in some leagues.  

If Milwaukee Bucks SG Giannis Antetokounmpo isn’t duel eligible yet he will be soon. Heck, by early December Antetokounmpo might be eligible at FOUR positions (PG, SG, SF, PF) and that flexibility combined with his ability to stuff a stat sheet on a nightly basis is Fantasy gold. Giannis shot 53 percent from the field and 72 percent from the line last season and if he ever learns how to knock down triples he’d be the number one pick instead of the late first round to early second round his 13.7 Average Draft Position (ADP) currently has him being drafted.

Chicago Bulls SG Jimmy Butler is another SG that has duel eligibility (SG, SF) and is currently a mid to late second round pick (19.4 ADP). Butler is another stat stuffing SG averaging five rebounds, 4.8 assists, 20.9 points and knocked down a triple a night in 2016. Butler has solid shooting percentages and playing alongside Rajon Rondo and Dwayne Wade this season might see Butler hitting a few more threes and possibly a couple of extra rebounds a night when he’s plugged in at the three spot.

Golden State Warriors SG Klay Thompson comes in at number four on my list and is currently being drafted in the early to mid-second round. (23.6). The preseason narrative was that Thompson would suffer with the arrival of Kevin Durant but that doesn’t seem to be the case. Last season Thompson knocked down 276 triples and was solid in all the scoring categories. I would like to see Thompson get a few more steals this season but his three-bombs more than make up for this.

Oklahoma City Thunder SG Victor Oladipo rounds out my top five today. His trade from the Orlando Magic and Durant’s departure gives Oladipo a great opportunity. Currently Oladipo is being drafted in the late second or early third round (30.4 ADP) and that seems about right. Oladipo is a solid scorer with good shooting percentages and is good for the occasional steal. His situation is perfect as the second option on a potentially high scoring team and if he plays 35 minutes a night the skies the limit this season.

Portland Trail Blazers SG C.J. McCollum is currently being drafted in the mid to late second rounds (29.7 ADP) and unlike Oladipo he is duel eligible (PG, SG). McCollum is a scorer with solid shooting percentages and knocked down 2.5 triples in 2016. While not known for his defensive play he does get a steal a night and is just average in categories like rebounds (3.2). There’s a lot to like with McCollum but I like the other five players ahead of him much better in terms of categories he contributes in.

There are my top six and each of them will be solid contributors to your Fantasy basketball team. If you want one of these players you better be prepared to draft them early!

Rounding out my top ten are; Utah Jazz SG/SF Gordon Hayward (ADP 36.1),  Toronto Raptors SG DeMar DeRozan (36.4 ADP), Charlotte Hornets SG/SF Nicolas Batum (43.3 ADP) and Orlando Magic SG/SF Evan Fournier (53 ADP).

Good luck this season Fantasy Basketball Owner!  

Friday, September 30, 2016

Fantasy Basketball: Five Must Have Sleepers

In just over one month the 2016-2017 Fantasy Basketball season will begin. I don’t know about you but I’m excited about this season and can’t wait to begin drafting my teams. If you want to win your league it’s imperative to draft players other owners overlook and have them outperform their Average Draft Position (ADP). These players are more commonly known as “sleepers” and I have five for you that I believe will help you win your league this season.

Atlanta Hawks PG Dennis Schroder currently is being drafted at #72.1 at ESPN and I have a feeling Schroeder will absolutely outdo that ADP. Last season Schroeder finished the season 9th in usage and he only played 20 minutes a night. Now that Jeff Teague is no longer standing in his way the minutes will increase as will the opportunities to shine in a Hawks system that is point guard friendly. His 2016 per 36 numbers of 19.7 points, 7.8 assists, 4.4 rebounds and nearly 2 steals a game are fantastic and now that he will be getting closer to 30-35 minutes a night those numbers should rise exponentially.

The Houston Rockets allowed Dwight Howard to walk away in Free Agency and the one that should benefit most from this is Clint Capela. Currently his ADP sits at 117 on ESPN and in my opinion that’s far too low for a player that last season put up per 36 numbers that were similar to Dwight Howards. Now that Howard is gone Capela should see more than 19 minutes a game and I am looking forward to watching him put up some crazy numbers that will make people shake their heads for overlooking Capela this season.

While New York Knicks fans were excited about the trade that brought Derrick Rose to New York I was smiling when they signed PG Brandon Jennings to be his backup. I get the excitement; Rose is a former league MVP and when he is healthy he is a beast but Rose has missed nearly 120 games over the past three seasons. If Rose has the same health issues this season Jennings is going to start and even though Jennings has had health issues of his own he is two seasons removed from the freak Achilles injury he suffered in 2015. Last season Jennings played in 48 games and had solid per 36 numbers averaging 13 points and 7 assists. Jennings has an ADP of 111 and should be hanging around at the end of your draft.

Orlando Magic shooting guard Evan Fournier had a terrific 2016 campaign and has an ADP of 54. For a guy who knocked down a couple of triples and averaged 17 points a game per 36 minutes getting drafted at 54 seems about right so why is he a “sleeper”? As good as Fournier was last season Victor Oladipo was the number one option for the Magic. Last season Oladipo had a usage rate of 22 percent while Fournier had just 20 percent and he also had to deal with former coach Scott Skiles and his crazy rotations. This season Fournier has a new coach (Frank Vogel) and with Oladipo being traded away to the Oklahoma City Thunder Fournier could be a steal at number 54.

Speaking of Oladipo; his ADP is currently at number 31 and I think that has more to do with what he did last season in Orlando than it has to do with the possibilities of playing alongside Russell Westbrook. Westbrook isn’t just a great scorer but a great facilitator as well and Oladipo will absolutely get his chances to shoot the triple, pass the ball and will benefit greatly in the Thunder transition game. I know it might be a reach for Oladipo to overtake SG’s like James Harden and Jimmy Butler but with Kevin Durant taking up space and shots in Golden State Oladipo could very easily overtake current number three shooting guard Klay Thompson.

I’ll have plenty more Fantasy Basketball sleepers and much more for you to consider as we all prepare for our Fantasy Basketball drafts.  

Friday, September 16, 2016

Fantasy Football: Week Two Fantasy Football Suggestions for FanDuel

Week one of the Fantasy Football season is in the books and it’s on to week two. Today I have Quarterbacks, Running Backs, Wide Receivers and Tight Ends for you to consider this week!

The New York Giants have a very interesting matchup this week with the New Orleans Saints. While I am sure there will be plenty of interest in the Saints QB Drew Brees I have more interest in the Giants Eli  Manning ($8,100). Last week wide receivers torched the Saints for 34.30 Fantasy points and Manning was doing his thing scoring 19.28 FanDuel points of his own against Dallas. To say that the Saints secondary is challenged would be an understatement and with an over under of 53 and the Giants being an early week 4.5 point favorite I’m really liking Manning a LOT this week.

The Dallas Cowboys head into Washington as a 3 point underdog and I’m liking the Cowboys Dak Prescott ($7,000) in this matchup.  I didn’t tout him last week against the Giants but I do like his chances this week against a Washington Redskins passing defense that allowed QB’s 21.80 Fantasy points and wide receivers to score 42.10 Fantasy points. The Redskins defense looked awful against the Pittsburgh Steelers and while Prescott isn’t Ben Roethlisberger he ain’t exactly chopped liver either. If the Cowboys receivers can hang onto a few more balls this week Prescott might bring great value on Sunday.

I didn’t tout the Philadelphia Eagles Carson Wentz ($6,900) last week either and he had a very nice ballgame in week one against the Cleveland Browns. Okay, it was the Browns but Wentz did get the job done recording 19.2 FanDuel Fantasy points. The Eagles this week are a 3 point underdog on the road against the Chicago Bears this Monday night. Last week the Bears allowed 28.80 Fantasy points to the Houston Texans  receivers and an additional 16.64 points to QB Brock Osweiler. I don’t see very high ownership of Wentz this week and at his price he doesn’t have to do much to make his value and if he goes off then you will be one very happy camper on Monday night.

Last week the Atlanta Falcons Matt Ryan ($7,900) was in my top five and he delivered with 24.4 FanDuel Fantasy points. That’s not too shabby and I liked him so much that I’m going to tout him again on the road this week against the Oakland Raiders. Falcons fans will tell you that Ryan is no Drew Brees but I do like him in a matchup that has the Raiders favored by 4 points. Last week the Raiders allowed wide receivers 56.40 Fantasy points and Brees 31.42 Fantasy points. That’s a ton of points my friend and that 49.5 point over under has me intrigued this week. I also don’t believe Ryan will be highly owned and in a game like this that could bode well for whoever decides to take a chance on Ryan this week.

Another QB that I think might go overlooked is the Tennessee Titans Marcus Mariota ($7,500). Their matchup this week on the road against a Detroit Lions secondary that allowed wide receivers 29.70 Fantasy points and QB’s to score 35.50 Fantasy points. Yes that was against the Indianapolis Colts and no the Titans aren’t the same but Mariota impressed me last week in the Titans loss to the Minnesota Vikings amassing 17.7 FanDuel points. I don’t believe the Lions defense is very good and the 47 point over under along with the Lions being a 5.5 point favorite suggests to me Mariota will be airing the ball out and his price point also tells me Mariota won’t have to do too much to make value on Sunday.

Running Backs

Normally I like to choose running backs who are playing at home and are heavily favored but he Jacksonville Jaguars RB T.J. Yeldon has a very good road matchup this weekend against the San Diego Chargers. Last weekend the Chargers allowed RB’s 28.20 Fantasy points. That is a pile of points isn’t it? Last week Yeldon scored 14.9 Fantasy points against a pretty good Green Bay Packers rushing defense and with a 47 point over under and being a 3 point underdog the game flow suggests to me that Yeldon might be able to do some damage both as a rusher and receiver.  This could be a risky play so I would probably use Yeldon only in tournaments.

Unlike Yeldon and the Jaguars the Denver Broncos have a great matchup against the Indianapolis Colts and the Broncos RB C.J Anderson ($7,800) is someone I am considering this week. The game is at home, the over under is 46 and the Broncos are a 6 point favorite against a Colts defense that allowed 46.90 Fantasy points to RB’s last week. As for Anderson he recorded 27.9 FanDuel Fantasy points against the Carolina Panthers and he did it both rushing the ball on 20 carries for 92 yards and a touchdown. He also caught 4 balls out of the backfield for 47 yards and 1 touchdown. I would use Yeldon in both cash as well as tournaments this weekend.

Another RB that I think has a terrific opportunity to do some damage this weekend is the Houston Texans Lamar Miller ($7,700) against the visiting Kansas City Chiefs. The Texans are a slight early week 2 point favorite with a 43 point over under suggesting this is going to be a low scoring game possibly won in the trenches and that bodes well for Miller. Last week the Chiefs allowed RB’s to score 35.70 Fantasy points and Miller is coming off of a 13.7 FanDuel Fantasy point day that saw him amass 106 yards on 28 carries and an additional 4 catches for 11 yards. I don’t think Miller will be too highly owned and I would use him in cash games as well as tournaments.

Last week I touted the Dallas Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott ($7,900) and he was somewhat of a disappointment to me. Last week against the New York Giants he scored just 11.7 Fantasy points with 51 yards on 20 carries with a touchdown. The touches were there but the production lacked a bit. This week Elliott has a better matchup on the road against a  Washington Redskins team who last week allowed RB’s to score 29.70 Fantasy points. Vegas has set the over under at 44.5 points with the Redskins being a 3 point early week favorite. The opportunity is ripe for Elliott to explode and I for one hope that he does. Elliott has too low a floor to use in anything other than tournaments this week.   

The Seattle Seahawks RB Thomas Rawls ($6,600) appears to finally be fully healthy and he has a terrific matchup on the road against the Los Angeles Rams. Last week the Rams allowed RB’s to score 29 Fantasy points and I really like the Seahawks being a 3 point early week favorite and the 39 point over under suggests a low scoring game that should benefit Rawls.  Last week Rawls carried the ball just 12 times for 32 yards and caught 3 passes for 26 yards. His price point is fantastic and if he does get a full workload Rawls could be money in the bank this week. I would use Rawls strictly in tournaments this week.

Wide Receivers

Last week the New York Giants WR Odell Beckham Jr ($9,400) had 8 targets thrown his way hauling in 4 of them for 73 yards. This week he has an incredible matchup with a New Orleans Saints secondary allowing 25.93 Fantasy points a game. That’s a LOT of points my friend. The over under is huge at 53 points with Beckham’s giants being favored by 4 points. That suggests a shootout and I don’t know about you but I think this bodes well for Beckham this Sunday. You could also probably use WR Victor Cruz($4,700) Sunday; Cruz saw 4 targets and caught all of them for 34 yards and a touchdown.

I’m strongly considering the Atlanta Falcons QB Matt Ryan this week and if I do then Falcons WR Julio Jones ($9,300) is a must play. In fact I think Jones is a must play this week no matter what direction at QB you go as his matchup with the Oakland Raiders secondary is incredibly appealing. That secondary allowed 19.61 Fantasy points last week and this 49.5 point over under along with the Raiders being an early 4.5 point favorite might just be too darn good to pass up. Jones tweaked his ankle last week so keep an eye on this going forward but all indications are that Jones will be good to go on Sunday.

Last Sunday the Chicago Bears WR Alshon Jeffery ($7,800) had 6 targets thrown his way catching 4 of them for 105 yards against the Houston Texans. Jeffrey has a very good opportunity this Monday against a Philadelphia Eagles secondary that last week allowed Cleveland Browns receivers 13.62 Fantasy points. Vegas has set a 43 point over under with the Bears being an early 3 point favorite and like last week Bears WR’s like Jeffery and even Eddie Royal ($5,300) have a tremendous opportunity and if they can succeed this could help you receive a big payout this week.

I’m also strongly considering the Cincinnati Bengals WR A.J. Green ($8,900) this Sunday against the Pittsburgh Steelers this Sunday. Last week Green had 13 balls sent his way hauling in 12 of them for 180 yards and 1 touchdown against the New York Jets. This week he’s up against a Steelers secondary that allowed 22 Fantasy points to receivers. The 48.5 over under with the Steelers being an early 3 point favorite indicates a nice game flow and the strong possibility the Bengals will be playing catch up. That bodes well for those of you who roster Green this Sunday.

Another WR I’m strongly considering this week is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers WR Mike Evans ($8,100). Last week against the Falcons Evans had 7 targets catching 5 of them for 99 yards and a touchdown. This week Evans has the luxury of going against a Arizona Cardinals secondary that allowed New England Patriots WR’s to torch them for 28.30 Fantasy points. Vegas has set the over under at 50 points with the Cardinals an early 7 point favorite. It looks like another shootout with the Bucs coming from behind and a great opportunity for Evans to do his thing on Sunday.

Tight Ends
Last week the Tennessee Titans TE Delanie Walker ($6,600) caught 3 passes for 42 yards worth 5.7 FanDuel points and this week he has a great matchup with a Detroit Lions defense that allowed TE’s to score 28.80 points. The Lions are currently a 6 point favorite at home with a 47.5 point over under. That suggests a lot of points will most likely be scored and the Titans will be playing catchup. That bodes well for Walker this week.

Dallas Cowboys TE Jason Witten ($5,900) had 14 balls thrown his way last week. He caught 9 of them for 66 yards and 11 FanDuel Fantasy points. This week the Cowboys travel to Washington to take on a Redskins defense that allowed TE’s to score just 3 Fantasy points. The over under in this one is 45.5 with the Redskins an early week 3 point favorite. It’s obvious that Witten is a big part of what the Cowboys do and with a rookie QB at the helm I can’t help but think Witten is going to see plenty of action this week.

Last week the Atlanta Falcons allowed TE’s to score 18.40 Fantasy points against them. That’s quite a few and that might bode well for the Oakland Raiders TE Clive Walford ($4,700) this week. The Raiders are currently a 5 point favorite at home against the Falcons and the 49.5 point over under suggests a shootout in the Bay this weekend. Last week Walford had 5 balls thrown his way catching 3 of them for 25 yards and 4 Fantasy points. Even Walford outscored Fleener and at Walford’s price point it won’t take much for him to make value this week.

The Minnesota Vikings TE Kyle Rudolph ($5,000) is someone I’m strongly considering this week. Rudolph has a very good matchup with a Green Bay Packers defense that allowed TE’s to score 17.20 Fantasy points. Last week Rudolph had 8 targets thrown his way catching 4 of them for 65 yards and 8.5 FanDuel Fantasy points. The Packers are currently a 2.5 point road favorite with a 44 point over under. The price point is very good and it looks as though Rudolph figures into the long-term offensive plans of the Vikings.

The Jacksonville Jaguars TE Marcedes Lewis ($4,600) has a very good matchup on the road against a San Diego Chargers defense that allowed TE’s to score 9.40 Fantasy points. That isn’t very much at all but Lewis did have 2 targets his way catching both of them for 48 yards and 5.5 FanDuel Fantasy points. The over under in this one is 47 with the Chargers an early week 3 point favorite. Game flow here and the low price point makes Lewis a decent salary saving option this weekend.

Good luck at FanDuel this week!

Thursday, September 8, 2016

Fantasy Football: Running Backs for Week One of FanDuel Fantasy Football!

Fantasy Football is back! I can’t seem to say that enough these days. My last season long draft is tonight (Wednesday) and I’m really looking forward to playing weekly Fantasy Football at FanDuel. Here are some of the running backs (RB’s) I’m thinking about for week one of the Fantasy Football season at FanDuel.

The Kansas City Chiefs RB Spencer Ware ($5,400) is high on my list this week but only if Jamaal Charles doesn’t suit up. Everything I’ve read thus far suggests that Charles will be inactive for week one and if he is than Ware should be highly considered this week against the San Diego Chargers. Last season Ware led all RB’s with at least 70 carries averaging .70 Fantasy Points per run. That’s special folks and I suspect Ware is going to have an exceptional game against the Chargers this week. You would probably be better served using him in tournaments rather than cash this week.

The Houston Texans RB Lamar Miller ($7,600) is pricier than Ware but this might be the last time we see Miller at this price especially if he runs roughshod over the Chicago Bears this Sunday. If I were playing cash games I would start with Miller and build my cash game lineup around him. Last season the Bears allowed 120 rushing yards per game and someone with fresh legs and Miller’s ability should be able to do some real damage this Sunday.

The Arizona Cardinals RB David Johnson ($8,800) is pricey but spectacular and his matchup against the New England Patriots is certainly intriguing. He is the unquestionable number one back for Arizona and will spend plenty of time on the field as he is also the best receiver out of the backfield.  The Patriots are a top 10 rushing defense but the Vegas line of -1 favoring the Patriots and a 51 point over under leads me to believe this ballgame will be a high scoring close affair that bodes well for a three down back like Johnson. Feel free to use Johnson in both cash as well as tournament play this Sunday.

With all the hype surrounding Dallas Cowboys QB Dak Prescott I think many will overlook RB Ezekiel Elliot ($7,900) this week. That would be a mistake and with Elliot backed by one of the best offensive lines in the NFL coupled with their matchup this week against a New York Giants rushing defense that allowed 121 rushing yards per game in 2015 and we have all the makings for Elliot to have a big game. Elliot has big game upside in this one and with the Vegas line of 4 points in the Cowboys favor I am all in on Elliot this week in both cash as well as tournament play.

The Philadelphia Eagles RB Ryan Matthews ($6,100) has a terrific matchup with the Cleveland Browns. Much like Elliot all the talk has centered around Eagles QB  Carson Wentz and not much talk about Matthews. I think that’s a big mistake. The Browns are horrible at defense and Matthews should see plenty of touches in this contest. Vegas is spotting the Eagles 7.5 points in this one and if everything goes the way I think it will Matthews is going to see a lot of work in the second half of this one. I wouldn’t use Matthews in cash games but it’s all systems go for tournaments. 

Other running backs I’m considering are Todd Gurley ($8,900), Rashad Jennings ($6,000), DeAngelo Williams ($7,100) and Latavius Murray ($6,600).

Good luck at FanDuel this week!!

Wednesday, September 7, 2016

Fantasy Football: QB’s for FanDuel Week One Fantasy Football

Well here we are, the start of the NFL season is finally here! I don’t know why but I seem to be more excited about this football season than I can remember being in a long while. I have a short list of Quarterbacks I’m targeting at FanDuel Fantasy Football season and here we go.

If you are comfortable spending up on a QB this week you might want to consider the New Orleans Saints Drew Brees ($8,700) at home against the Oakland Raiders. With an over under of 51 points this game is one of the highest projected points totals on this week’s slate. Brees and the Saints are a slim 1 point favorite and while I won’t be playing him this week I am comfortable with Brees in either cash or tournament play.

The Jacksonville Jaguars QB Blake Bortles ($8,400) is another higher priced option and I like his matchup this week with the Green Bay Packers. The Packers are a 4.5 point favorite and the 47.5 over under suggests both teams will be putting points up on the board. More than likely Bortles will be airing it out and playing catch-up and if he is successful this bodes well for Fantasy Owners. I think I like him better in tournaments than in cash because of the Packers solid defense this seems more like a boom or bust type play to me.

The QB I’m targeting this week is the Raiders Derek Carr ($7,700). I like the price, I like the matchup with the Saints and I especially like the 51 point over under total Vegas projects it to be. I’m thinking this game is going to be a shootout and I’m hoping that Carr will get overlooked by Fantasy owners and be low owned on Sunday. Last season the Saints had the worst pass defense in the NFL and I’m hoping that continues this Sunday. Carr is strictly for tournaments in my opinion.

The Atlanta Falcons Matt Ryan ($7,600) is priced nicely and his matchup this Sunday against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers is certainly enticing. Tampa Bay’s secondary leaked like a sieve last season and Ryan has the tools to have himself a big ballgame on Sunday. The Falcons are currently a 3 point favorite at home with a nice 47.5 point over under. Ryan has been known to throw an interception or three so tournament play is where I would use him this Sunday.

If you are looking for value on the cheap the Los Angeles Rams Case Keenum ($6,000) has an interesting matchup against the San Francisco 49ers on Monday night. The Rams are currently a 1 point favorite and the 47.5 point over under suggests a high scoring affair. At $6,000 bucks it won’t take much for Keenum to make value and if a cheap tournament value play is what you are after Keenum just may be what you are looking for this weekend.

Other QB’s you could choose this weekend include; Aaron Rodgers ($9,000), Brock Osweiler ($7,100), Tyrod Taylor ($7,200) and Eli Manning ($7,200).

Good luck at FanDuel this weekend!

Monday, September 5, 2016

Fantasy Football: Early Thoughts on Fanduel's Week One Slate

The NFL season is finally here!! I don’t know about you but this season couldn’t have come soon enough for me. I know it’s really early in the week (I’ll have much more later in the week) but here is who I’m considering at FanDuel for week 1 of the Fantasy Football season.

I really like the Oakland Raiders QB Derek Carr this week. I like his price point of $7,700 and I especially like the matchup he has this week on the road against the New Orleans Saints. Carr has a much better offensive line, a vastly improved WR in Amari Cooper and a terrible Saints defense to face on Sunday. Vegas has this one as  a you pick ‘em with an over under of 50.5. You could pair him up with Cooper ($7,100) or even Michael Crabtree ($6,100) if you so desire. This one is going to be a shootout my friends and Carr, Cooper and Crabtree should go overlooked in this one.

The Houston Texans should have a potent offense this season and I’m seriously thinking about rostering QB Brock Osweiler this week against the Chicago Bears. The Texans are currently a 4 point favorite and with WR’s like DeAndre Hopkins ($8,400), Will Fuller ($5,600) and Braxton Miller ($4,500) to throw to this has all the makings for great value on Sunday. The 47 point over under suggests Vegas believes plenty of points will be scored and against the less than stellar Bears defense I think Osweiler is going to light up the scoreboard on Sunday at home against the Bears.

I know this is a reach but I’m thinking about the Los Angeles Rams QB Case Keenum ($6,000) against the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday. The 49ers have allowed 261 yards a game via the air this pre-season and all Keenum has to do is be consistent and he makes value easily. The Rams are an early 1 point favorite and you could pair him up with WR Tavon Austin ($6,400) and then roster just about anyone you want to go along with these two. 

I’m staying with the Rams and I really like RB Todd Gurley ($8,900) against the 49ers. He’ll be chalky as hell but if you want to win some cash this weekend I think you’d better have him on your roster. The Dallas Cowboys Ezekiel Elliot ($7,900) has a great matchup with a New York Giants defense allowing 121 yards on the ground this preseason and the Texans Lamar Miller ($7,600) has a great matchup with the Bears defense allowing 120 rushing yards a game this preseason.

If you’re looking for value at the RB spot you might consider the Jacksonville Jaguars RB Chris Ivory ($6,100) as he faces a Green Bay Packers defense allowing 112 yards a game on the ground. Hopefully the Jags defense can contain Aaron Rodgers long enough for Ivory to do his thing but at $6100 bucks Ivory could be a steal. The Philadelphia Eagles RB Ryan Matthews ($6,100) against the hapless Cleveland Browns could also be Fantasy gold this weekend.

If value at the WR position is what you are after I really like the Browns WR Terrelle Pryor ($4,900). The Eagles have allowed 267 yards a game through the air and Pryor will probably go overlooked by the majority of Fantasy owners I think and might just be a steal on Sunday. If the Packers Davante Adams ($5,300) starts on Sunday he might provide some good value against a Jags defense allowing 268 yards a game this preseason.

Remember these are just early thoughts on a Sunday afternoon. I’ll have much more later in the week.

Fantasy Phil

Sunday, August 21, 2016

The Fantasy Football season is right around the corner and now that I’ve returned from my summer tennis teaching gig it’s time to begin getting to your Fantasy Football questions. If you would like to see your question answered in this space hit me up at

Dear Fantasy Phil, 
Would you draft Cam Newton in the first round and if not what is your plan for the 2016 Draft?

Thanks for the question.

Newton had a fantastic 2015 campaign. His 2015 Average Draft Position (ADP) of 16.5 had him in most cases late first or second round. Compare that to where his contemporaries such as Aaron Rodgers (24.3), Russell Wilson (34.2) and Andrew Luck (44.7) were drafted and we see that in most cases the QB wasn’t taken in the first round but in later rounds. I think there is a very good reason for this.

Flashback to 2006; five NFL QB’s threw for over 4000 yards that season whereas in 2015 we saw 12 QB’s reach the 4000+ yard plateau. That means in the average 10-12 team league there are enough QB’s for each owner to obtain a quality arm capable of 4000 yards this season as well as an additional 5 arms that threw for at least 3800 yards in 2015.

I said all that to say this; in a passing dominate league such as the NFL there’s really no point in drafting ANY QB until at least the 4th or 5th round. Sure there will be owners taking Newton, Rodgers or Wilson earlier than that but so what? There still will be plenty of time to get a quality arm capable of consistent numbers and in some cases superb scores any given Sunday.

My plan is really simple; I’m going to spend the first five rounds drafting the best wide receivers and running backs that are available and go from there. For me it doesn’t make any sense doing anything else. Receivers with the highest projected targets and backs with the highest projected snap counts are on my target list.

Dear Fantasy Phil, 
Are you eyeing any sleepers at the QB position and if so who do you like?

Thanks for the question.

Since you now know my strategy of course I have my eye on a couple of sleepers.

The Bills Tyrod Taylor (118 ADP) is someone I am really interested in. He finished 2nd last season in rushing points by a QB and even though he struggled with a nagging injury Taylor was a top five QB during the first four weeks of the season and a top ten QB the last half of the season averaging 7 yards per attempt landed him in the top five amongst his peers.  The Bills have committed to Taylor by giving him a 6 year 90 million dollar deal this summer. His current ADP of 130 makes him an ideal late round sleeper and one you should strongly consider.

The Raiders Derek Carr (111 ADP) is another QB I’ll have my eye on during the late rounds. Last season Carr passed for nearly 4000 yards (3987) and with a vastly improved offensive line and the growing relationship with Wide Receiver Amari Cooper Carr could quite possibly be the late rounds steal of the draft and one worth keeping an eye on in the later rounds.

The Giants Eli Manning is always underrated and usually winds up amongst the top 10 QB’s in the game. Manning hasn’t missed a start in the last 11 seasons making him arguably the most durable QB of the 2016 Draft AND as an added bonus he has Odell Beckham to throw to.  Last season Manning threw for over 4400 yards and finished the 2015 season in the top 10. With an ADP of 95 Manning is going to be there in the later rounds and if he is I may just snatch him up.

Good luck with your Fantasy Football Draft!

Fantasy Phil