Tuesday, April 3, 2018

MLB: Fantasy Phil's Fabulous Four at FanDuel for Tuesday April 3, 2018




We have another nine game MLB slate at FanDuel tonight. The main weather problem seems to be in New York for the Phillies and Mets. I may just avoid that game altogether.

You should check your lineups to be as sure as you can that everyone on your roster is actually playing.

Our pitchers both did okay. Charlie Morton (46 points) and Andrew Triggs (33 points).  Our hitters didn’t. Carlos Santana got snowed out and Khris Davis finished with three points.

Let’s see who Fantasy Phil likes for GPP Tourneys tonight.

Pitching

It’s Clayton Kershaw ($11,500) day today. Obviously you are going to want to consider him for cash games. In fact he should be a cash game lock against the Diamondbacks.


Fantasy Phil has a fondness for Milwaukee Brewers Ace Chase Anderson ($8000). Like most pitchers Anderson is much better at home and while the fly ball rate has increased over his career the bombs per nine has actually decreased. Andersons career 4.27 xFIP at home is manageable and I know it’s early but the Cardinals have a 28 percent strikeout rate against righties. Vegas set a nine run over under which might keep betters off Anderson tonight. There is much to like with Anderson tonight.


The Brewers aren’t exactly setting the world on fire at the plate this season. At $6000 bucks the Cardinals Jack Flaherty has a nice opportunity to add to his early season K/9 rate of 9.0 as these Brewers whiff 23 percent of the time they face righties. The other thing I like is throughout his professional career Flaherty doesn’t cough up that many bombs (1.69) or walk that many (4.22).  His MLB sample size is too small but his overall career suggest positive regression. At his price point he doesn’t need to do much to make five times value. 

Hitting

We have a nice mix in our pitching options and I think I have a couple of bats that might have two bomb GPP upside.


Washington Nationals SP A.J. Cole coughed up 2.25 bombs per nine and  40 percent fly ball rate on the road; for this reason Fantasy Phil is interested in how Atlanta Braves 1B Freddie Freeman ($4200) fares against Cole at home tonight. Freeman has a career ISO of .228 and wRC+ of 152 against righties at home. No matter what the price Freeman and his double dong potential is difficult to pass up.  


If you are spending up for Kershaw you are going to need to find value and Texas Rangers OF Nomar Mazara ($2600) fits what we are looking for. He has a great matchup tonight with Oakland Athletics SP Kendall Graveman who boasts a career 30 percent fly ball rate AND extremely low 5.85 career K/9 rate against  left handed hitters. Mazara has a career .186 ISO, .332 wOBA and wRC+ of 102 against righties. Fantasy Phil likes the numbers and the double bomb potential tonight.  

For more about building lineups and Daily Fantasy Baseball strategies Fantasy Phil has written Daily Fantasy Baseball 101: Winning Strategies for Daily Fantasy Baseball.